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Memphis, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 4 Miles NW Memphis TN
National Weather Service Forecast for:
4 Miles NW Memphis TN
Issued by: National Weather Service Memphis, TN |
| Updated: 2:20 pm CDT Jun 27, 2025 |
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This
Afternoon
Slight Chance
T-storms
|
Tonight
Slight Chance
T-storms
|
Saturday
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
T-storms
|
Saturday
Night
Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
|
Sunday
Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
|
Sunday
Night
T-storms
Likely then
Chance
Showers
|
Monday
Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
|
Monday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
Tuesday
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
T-storms
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| Hi 94 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 89 °F |
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Heat Advisory
This Afternoon
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 105. South southwest wind around 5 mph. |
Tonight
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Saturday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Increasing clouds, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 102. Southwest wind around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Saturday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a chance of showers between 1am and 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Sunday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 90. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Sunday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. South southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Monday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 91. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Monday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. South southwest wind around 5 mph. |
Tuesday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. |
Tuesday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
Wednesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. |
Wednesday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
Thursday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 4 Miles NW Memphis TN.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
845
FXUS64 KMEG 271923
AFDMEG
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
223 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025
...New DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 223 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025
- Hot and humid conditions will continue. A Heat Advisory remains
in effect area wide until 9 PM tonight.
- Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms will occur each day
through the next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 223 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025
A weak trough continues to eat away at the ridge which has been
parked over the southeastern CONUS for the past week.
Deamplification of the ridge will allow for temperatures to
moderate slightly as we move through the weekend. Heat indices
could still reach into the low 100s through this afternoon with
the Heat Advisory lasting through 9 PM CDT tonight. A few
thunderstorms are already ongoing in W TN and E AR. Convective
coverage should increase through the rest of the afternoon with
the potential for scattered hybrid microbursts with the strongest
storms. Storm motions are quite slow which could localized
flooding concerns.
Maximum heat indices continue to drop tomorrow and Sunday with the
majority of the region in the 95 - 100 F range. After coordination
with surrounding offices, the decision was made to not issue new
heat headlines tomorrow. With similar conditions on Sunday and
into next week, heat headlines are expected to not be a concern
through the rest of the period.
With the upper ridge flattened, storm chances will only continue
to increase tomorrow through the end of the period. PWATs will be
in the 1.75" - 2.00" range through Tuesday, promoting heavy rain
rates and more isolated potential for flash flooding. Alongside
the flooding potential, weak shear and ample instability will
allow for scattered microbursts capable of damaging winds during
this time frame.
A cold front is expected to approach the region Tuesday evening,
potentially making it as far south as MS. Not much in terms of
heat relief is expected with highs still in the upper 80s and low
90s with humid air still present. More afternoon thunderstorms
are likely with similar hazards to earlier storms in the period.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025
Prevailing VFR conditions outside of any TSRA activity. Upper
level high pressure will continue to weaken today through
Saturday. This will allow for higher coverage of SHRAs and TSRAs
today and tomorrow, with Saturday seeing the higher chances (up
to 50 percent coverage). Winds will remain light and from the
south through the period.
AC3
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 223 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025
No fire weather concerns expected. Minimum relative humidity
values are expected to remain above 40% with 20 foot winds below
10 knots. Daily thunderstorms are expected each afternoon with
heat indices in the upper 90s and low 100s.
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ009-018-026>028-
035-036-048-049-058.
MO...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for MOZ113-115.
MS...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for MSZ001>017-020>024.
TN...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for TNZ001>004-019>022-
048>055-088>092.
&&
$$
PUBLIC FORECAST...JAB
AVIATION...AC3
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